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In the aftermath of catastrophes, it is common to find prior indicators, missed signals, and dismissed alerts, that is, precursors that might have signaled impending danger and even averted the catastrophes. This report of a National Academy of Engineering workshop in July 2003 documents industrial and academic approaches to detecting, analyzing, and benefiting from accident precursors and examines public-sector and private-sector roles in the collection and use of precursor information. The report includes an analysis, findings, and recommendations by the authoring committee and 11 individually...
In the aftermath of catastrophes, it is common to find prior indicators, missed signals, and dismissed alerts, that is, precursors that might have signaled impending danger and even averted the catastrophes. This report of a National Academy of Engineering workshop in July 2003 documents industrial and academic approaches to detecting, analyzing, and benefiting from accident precursors and examines public-sector and private-sector roles in the collection and use of precursor information. The report includes an analysis, findings, and recommendations by the authoring committee and 11 individually authored background papers on four topics: the opportunities of precursor analysis and management; risk assessment; risk management; and linking risk assessment and risk management.